The 3D Neural Network for improving Radar-Rainfall Estimation in Monsoon Climate

The reflectivity (Z)-rain rate (R) model has not been tested on single polarization radar for estimating monsoon rainfall in Southeast Asia, despite its widespread use for estimating heterogeneous rainfall.

The artificial neural network (ANN) regression has been applied to the radar reflectivity data to estimate monsoon rainfall using parametric Z-R models. The 10-min reflectivity data recorded in Kota Bahru radar station (in Malaysia) and hourly rain record in nearby 58 gauge stations during 2013–2015 were used.

Kota Bahru, Kelantan

The three-dimensional nearest neighbor interpolation with altitude correction was applied for pixel matching. The non-linear Levenberg Marquardt (LM) regression, integrated with ANN regression minimized the spatiotemporal variability of the proposed Z-R model.

3D NN model is independent to the complexity of radar coefficients (alpha & beta) thus minimizing the geometric bias. Highest rain = 3 mm/h & Low rain = 0.3 mm/h (accuracy). Massive flood episode in Kelantan (2014), 91-hour continuous downpour and ~20 mm/h (highest) measured by weather radar.

CAPPI Radar showing the rainfall intensity.