Real Estate Pros See Recession By 2017, Survey Shows

“The real estate sector is getting a little more pessimistic about the economy and a majority of professionals in the industry now see a recession ahead in the next 18 months.

A survey of 400 people in the real estate business by PricewaterhouseCoopers (PwC) and the Urban Land Institute (ULI) showed a drop in positive sentiment to 69% from 84% six months ago. Current levels are at the lowest in two years. “There’s a lot of weird stuff going on in the world—China, interest rates, volatility in the equity market—all of which is creating anxiety,” said Mitch Roschelle, a partner at PwC.

And while a majority of those surveyed remain positive for now, more than half expect a recession by the end of 2017, notes Roschelle, who adds that two out of the last four recessions have been in part due to a slowdown in the real estate market.

However, he sees a silver lining to real estate pros losing their optimism. “They’re saying, ‘Listen, maybe we need to back out. Maybe we need to not reinflate a bubble and cause another recession,’” said Roschelle. “If we don’t reinflate a bubble with housing prices and we don’t reinflate a bubble with commercial real estate prices, we may not have that bubble bursting causing another recession. So if there is a recession, real estate folks are saying, ‘It’s not going to be because of us this time.’” Global uncertainty may also lead to some overseas investors turning to U.S. real estate. “The more volatility that goes on in foreign markets and the more uncertainty there is about geopolitical risks in foreign markets, they tend to rotate toward U.S. dollar-denominated investments and income producing asset classes like real estate,” Roschelle said. “What’s interesting is foreign sentiment for U.S. real estate has improved while domestic sentiment has weakened.”

Source: realestate_iq

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Yellow Letters Have Proven To Be One of The Most Effective Resources For Direct Mail Campaigns

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5 Criteria for Choosing a Neighborhood to Target

“Criterion #1: Numbers Make It Work. It’s important to choose a neighborhood that has 150+ similar properties in the same geographical area because it makes communication much easier. (In some locations, you can’t find 150 properties in one community/subdivision, so you may have to include other geographical areas to create a sufficient number.) Without 150 or more properties, there may not be enough annual sales to make your efforts profitable. For example, I just did a study on an area that has around 80 homes but only 4 sales per year for the past 4 years this area is not worth the effort because it’s almost impossible to get 100% of the sales.

Criterion #2: Choose the Right Price Range. The right price range is the one that consistently has sufficient sales and with which you are compatible. Keep in mind it may not be the neighborhood that necessarily has the higher-priced homes in your area, but instead the one that has sufficient sales at an average price that makes the effort worthwhile. One of the outstanding features of farming is that you can direct the effort at where the market is HOT and not at where the market is NOT. My suggestion is to do an Absorption Rate study on the areas you’re considering to factually determine how many houses sell per year and the amount of inventory on the market. Remember: if there is more than 6 months of inventory, it’s a Buyers Market, and if less, it’s a Sellers Market.

Criterion #3: Turnover. You’re looking for a turnover rate of no less than 7%. The calculation for that is:

total houses sold in the past 12 months = turnover percentage
total houses in the farm area

For example:
12 houses sold = 8% turnover
150 homes in the farm

There are some exceptions to this turnover figure. For example, if the average sales price is $1.5M, or conversely if it’s $55,000, you may want to make some adjustments in your thinking and in the suggested turnover percentage. However, when you go below 7%, you can be in the danger zone.

Criterion #4: Competition. In most communities there are enough areas to farm without having to select a neighborhood that is already overloaded with farming agents or dominated by a Top Agent.

Criterion #5: Compatibility. Many of the farming agents I know started their farm in the neighborhood where they live. This makes a lot of sense to me because you’re there everyday, you have a vested interest in the neighborhood, you begin with advocates in the community, and you don’t have to go anywhere to make contacts because your fellow homeowners see you on a continuing basis. It can be the perfect farm. However, choosing a farm area or a price range where you have limited or no contacts and one in which your real estate office has had minimal success can be a daunting task, but it’s not impossible for an experienced agent with sufficient marketing skills who knows it’s the right fit.

Source: realestate_iq

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All The Things American Sacrifice Because Housing Costs Too Much

“Expensive housing is a problem not simply because it gobbles up a lot of money, but also because it eats into the things we would buy if we weren’t shelling out so much for shelter.

Families who struggle to pay the rent or the mortgage have to scale back on what they spend on health care or groceries or education. As a result, unaffordable housing has a way of creating other problems, too.

According to an annual, national housing survey by the MacArthur Foundation, more than half of Americans — 53 percent — in the last three years have made some kind of sacrifice to cover housing costs. They took on longer hours at work or an additional job. They stopped putting money away for retirement. They accepted tradeoffs for cheaper housing — like moving to neighborhoods that they felt were less safe or had weaker schools.

We know a lot about how many people face housing cost burdens and how hard it is to find an affordable home in communities across the country. But the reality that always hides behind these statistics is that households make hard concessions to keep the one thing they can’t do without. Alongside housing, other things start to look like luxuries: a car, a bottle of medicine, a box of toys for the kids or a bank account for retirement.”

Source: realestate_iq

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Before You Purchase Any Investment Property, Always Have 3 Exit Strategies Planned Out

“Go in with 3 ways out”

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Millennials Put Off Home Buying, Despite Rising Rent

“Rents are rising while interest rates remain low, yet young Americans are still largely choosing to rent instead of buy.

Home rent costs have jumped 14 percent since 2010, and are expected to rise another 3.3 percent this year, to year to an average of $1,161, according to commercial property tracker to Reis Inc.

Real estate agent Joan Kamens said high student loan debt is preventing adequate debt to income ratios required by lenders for a mortgage.

Lifestyle habits are a significant contributor as well, she added.

“Millennials are getting married later in life than previous generations, and a sense of urgency to purchase comes with stability, marriage and growing families,” said Kamens, an agent with Coldwell Banker Hearthside in Newtown, Pennsylvania, near Philadelphia. She is also the mother of two 20-somethings.

According to a recent Goldman Sachs study, 30 percent of millennials consider buying a home important but not a priority.

So when will the next generation start to buy houses? Kamens said it will happen once they’re more established in their careers and family, and “when education for children becomes a factor, they may settle with less for the convenience of quick travel time to workplace.” Neeta Mulgaokar, a real estate agent in New York with Mirador and a millennial, stands by the trend.

“Many of my clients are saying, ‘Why would I buy when it’s so expensive? I could use that money for something else like travel or starting a business.’ ”

Another big factor is the transient nature of the generation’s preferences coupled with the technology that supports their habits.

“Many companies, like Ernst & Young, are including remote work options for their millennial employees,” Mulgaokar pointed out.

“Many millennials have been burned or felt trapped by contracts (cell phones, cable, even student loans) and are shying away from long-term commitment,” she said. “They will pay more to avoid it all together.”

Source: realestate_iq

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Make Your Money Going In. This Means Buy The Property Right; at a Discount So That You Walk Into Equity

“Real Estate investing is strictly a numbers game and to further ensure you succeed buy at a discount of the FMV (Fair Market Value).”

Source: realestate_iq

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As Drones Become More Mainstream FAA Loosens Its Regulations for Real Estate Professionals

WASHINGTON (June 21, 2016) — Commercial drone use in the real estate business got a boost today with the release of the Federal Aviation Administration’s final rule governing small unmanned aerial systems, or UASs, in the national air space.
Drones are increasingly being used in commercial applications, but federal regulations have required commercial drone operators to apply for a “Section 333” waiver from the FAA before they can fly. Over 5,000 waivers were issued to commercial entities, a significant portion of which were used for the real estate business, but only licensed pilots were eligible to fly commercially.

FAA rules released today create a clearer pathway for real estate professionals to use drones for commercial purposes, a prospect that National Association of Realtors® President Tom Salomone called a win for the industry. “We’ve worked hard to strike a responsible balance that protects the safety and privacy of individuals, while also ensuring real estate professionals can put drones to good use,” said Salomone, broker-owner of Real Estate II Inc. in Coral Springs, Florida. “That effort just took another big step forward. The rules unveiled today will help more real estate professionals take flight, making the efficiency and innovation that drones have to offer available to a much broader base of operators.” The FAA’s announcement marks a long-fought victory for for the National Association of Realtors®. Since early 2014, NAR has worked with the FAA and industry partners to integrate drones into the national airspace for commercial use. NAR wrote to the FAA on numerous occasions to weigh in on the final Small UAS Rule, and testified before Congress to support the use of drones in real estate.

Despite eliminating the requirement that operators hold a pilot’s license, anyone looking to fly drones commercially will still have to comply with strict requirements designed to protect people on the ground.

Drones are useful in a number of real estate-related applications, including marketing properties, assisting with appraisals, facilitating insurance claims and overseeing utility work.

Source: realestate_iq

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Rural Research & Planning Group (RRPG) 7th International Conference and Field Study in Malaysia 2016

RRPG 2016 1

Date   : 15-17th August 2016
Venue: Conference Room B12, Faculty of Built Environment,  Universiti Teknologi Malaysia

We are facing the challenge of uncertainty of economic growth, increased globalization process, political conflicts and climate change that the questions of sustainability, and inclusivity of development becoming more pressing. The new global development agenda and Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) also call for more commitment for inclusive development. However, given the need to foster economic growth and competitiveness, concentration of development in core regions seems to be a common strategy adopted by many governments in developing countries, the outcome would further increase the development gap in rural areas.

In the context of the various challenges facing the world today we would like to call upon scholars and practitioners to look into how rural development could incorporate inclusive and sustainable communities that synergize and balance between rural and urban areas as well as achieving sustainable development, poverty eradication and resilient community.

You are cordially invited to participate in Rural Research & Planning Group (RRPG) 7thInternational Conference and Field Study in Malaysia 2016 (RRPG7), which will be held on 15-17 August 2016 at Faculty of Built Environment, Universiti Teknologi Malaysia (UTM) Johor Bahru. The conference is organized by Centre for Innovative Planning & Development (CiPD) with co-organiser UTM Razak School of Engineering and Advanced Technology. The theme of this conference is “Advancing Inclusive Rural Development & Transformation in a Challenging Environment“.

RRPG7 has the overall aim of bringing together stakeholders, policy makers, prominent figure, leading academic scientists, researchers and the public to explicitly discuss and advance our understanding of the following issues related to rural transformation, inclusive rural development and resilience rural environment. This conference will feature leading figures in various fields involving sustainable rural development, community empowerment, local economic development and community-based disaster risk reduction as well as resilience rural community studies.

Participants

Participation for this conference is open to all academic staff, students, independent researchers, practitioners, policy makers and anyone interested in the field of sustainable rural development, rural transformation, resilient and empowerment of rural society issues.

RRPG 2016 2

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International Graduate Conference on Engineering, Science and Humanities (IGCESH) 2016

Date : 15-17th August 2016
Venue: Block N24, Universiti Teknologi Malaysia, Skudai

International Graduate Conference on Engineering, Science and Humanities (IGCESH) is a biennial postgraduate conference organized by the UTM Postgraduate Student Society (PGSS-UTM) in collaboration with the School of Graduate Studies UTM. IGCESH 2016 provides a forum for accessing the most up-to-date and authoritative knowledge from graduate student’s research findings covering both industrial and academic world’s thereby sharing best practice in the fields of Engineering, Sciences and Humanities. The conference will provide an avenue to highlight recent developments and to identify emerging and future areas of growth in these exciting fields by the graduate students.

All extended abstracts (after reviewing process) will be published in the Conference Proceeding. Selected papers will be published in three volumes of Jurnal Teknologi – Special Issue on Sixth International Graduate Conference on Engineering, Science & Humanities and the other journals include The Malaysian Journal of Learning and Instruction (MJLI), Sains Humanika, Jurnal Kemanusiaan.

All postgraduate students are invited to share their latest research findings to this conference. The papers on original works are solicited on a variety of topics, including but not limited to :

a) Engineering; Electrical, Civil, Chemical, Mechanical, Biomedical & Engineering Education.
b) Science & Technology; Science, Computing, Built Environment, Geoinformation & Real Estate.
c) Social Science; Management, Education, Business, Islamic Civilization, Language & Marketing.

Only the papers presented in the conference will be considered for SCOPUS publication.

All presentations will be evaluated by a panel of judges. Awards will be given to the top three oral and top three poster presentations in each of the three tracks (Engineering , Science & Technology and Social Science).

 

igcesh brochure 1

igcesh brochure 2

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