PIMCO (Pacific Investment Management Company) Warns That a Storm is Forming in the Real Estate Market

Pacific Investment Management Co. is pointing to gathering clouds in the roughly $3 trillion commercial real-estate market. “…[A] confluence of factors—volatility in public markets, tightened regulations, maturing loans and uncertain foreign capital flows—is creating a blast of volatility for U.S. commercial real estate,” said Pimco’s John Murray, in a report jointly written with Anthony Clarke.

Pacific Investment Management Co. is pointing to gathering clouds in the roughly $3 trillion commercial real-estate market. “…[A] confluence of factors—volatility in public markets, tightened regulations, maturing loans and uncertain foreign capital flows—is creating a blast of volatility for U.S. commercial real estate,” said Pimco’s John Murray, in a report jointly written with Anthony Clarke.

That volatility could lead to prices falling by as much as 5% in the coming year for so-called commercial mortgage-backed securities associated with the financing of properties, including shopping malls, apartment complexes and office buildings, according to Pimco’s “U.S. Real Estate: A Storm Is Brewing.

Since the financial crisis, commercial mortgage-bond prices, which got whacked along with a broad swath of complex mortgage-related debt during the 2008 housing-market implosion, have recovered. Pimco attributes improvements in performance to demand for commercial bonds and warns that appetite is likely to peter out in coming months. “Capital flows have grown unstable over the past year due to fears over interest rate hikes and, more recently, events such as political and economic uncertainty in China,” Murray wrote. “While this instability began in the public CRE markets, it has blown in to private CRE as well, particularly in non-major markets.” Hundreds of billions of commercial bonds originated 10-years ago are set to mature over the next three years and appetite for higher-yields than CMBS offers is putting pressure on borrowers’ ability to obtain fresh financing and that’s pressuring bond prices.

Contributing to concerns about commercial real estate bonds is a shrinking base of ready buyers that has coincided with increased price volatility, Pimco cautioned.

Source: realestate_iq

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The 2% Rule for Single Family Rental Investors

Here’s a great rule of thumb for buy-and-hold investors (rental property owners) who focus on single family houses. And again, this is a good rule of thumb to use to perform a quick, first-pass financial analysis on an investment to determine whether it’s worth looking at further.

The 2% rule states that, to make a good profit on a single family investment property, the gross monthly rents should be at least 2% of the total purchase price of the property. For example, if you could charge $1200/month in rent on an investment house that costs $60,000, you would make a good profit.

It’s important to understand that the 2% rule is a very conservative rule. I prefer to look at this rule as a “sufficient, but not necessary condition” to make an investment, meaning that if you find a property that meets the 2% rule, you likely will want to buy it, but just because a property doesn’t meet the 2% rule doesn’t mean that you don’t want to buy it. In fact, in many parts of the country, it can be very difficult — if not impossible — to find properties that will generate rents that are 2% of the purchase price of the property. But this certainly doesn’t mean that you can’t make money in these parts of the country…you just need to work harder to evaluate deals.

Let’s look at an example of the 2% rule in action, and see why it works:

Say you find a single family investment property for sale for $25,000. Additionally, let’s say that based on your research of the local market, you believe you can rent that property for $500. As you can see, this property meets the 2% rule — monthly rents are 2% of the total cost of the property.

With a gross rent of $500/month, using the 50% rule, your monthly NOI (amount remaining for mortgage and profit) would be $250:

NOI = Gross Rents * 50% = $500 * .5 = $250

Assuming a 100% fixed interest loan at 6% for 30 years, your monthly mortgage payment would be exactly $150, leaving exactly $100/month in profit:

Profit = NOI – Mortgage = $250 – $150 = $100

Most SFH investors consider $100/month to be minimum acceptable return per month, and any property that meets the 2% rule will generally return at least $100 per month.

Source: realestate_iq

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Asset Integration International Conference AiC 2016

Call for Abstract

ASSET INTEGRATION INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE AiC 2016

Date: 13 – 14 December 2016
Venue: UTM Johor Bahru, Malaysia

UTM CRES or Centre for Real Estate Studies is hosting an international conference on assets integration related fields. This event is aimed to serve as a platform among academics, practitioners and researchers for sharing and disseminating the knowledge and research findings related to the designated themes, thus providing unique opportunity to network among academics and the industries.

Prospective authors are cordially invited to submit original and unpublished works for presentation at the conference. Potential participants are invited to submit extended abstract of the following, but not restricted to:

·Asset Creation
·Built Environment Design & Planning
·Construction
·Real Estate Valuation, Investment & Market Research
·Property & Facilities Management
·Building Survey, Urban Study & Planning
·Land Administration & Development

Why you should attend this conference:

·Very affordable academic conference
·Involves panelist from the industry experts
·Continuing Professional Development (CPD) hours by the Board of Valuers, Appraisers & Estate Agents, Malaysia

Abstract for this conference are accepting both English and Bahasa Melayu. Invited extended abstract will be published in peer reviewed journal International Journal of Real Estate Studies (INTREST) for papers in English and in book chapters for papers in English and Bahasa Melayu.

Please kindly disseminate this email to other interested researchers and colleagues.

Enclosed is the brochure for details information.

Sign up at http://goo.gl/forms/Xswe3ks2Dzh3K5IP2 now to secure your seat!!

See you in UTM JB!!

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The 50% Rule for Quick Deal Analysis

The 50% rule is a rule of thumb to do a very-quick first-pass analysis of a single family investment (rental) property. The rule states that — on average — the total expenses associated with operating a SFH investment will be about 50% of the gross rents. The expenses included in the 50% are things like: taxes, insurance, repairs, property management, administrative, legal, turn-over costs, eviction costs, etc. Basically all the ongoing annual expenses associated with maintaining the investment.

Here’s an example of how the 50% rule can be used:

Let’s say you find a single family property for sale for $100,000. Additionally, let’s say that based on your research of the local market, you believe you can rent the property for $1000/month. Using the 50% rule for a first-pass financial analysis, we find that all operating expenses would total about $500/month:

Expenses = Gross Rents * 50% = $1000 * .5 = $500

So, the amount you have left over at the end of the month to pay your mortgage and your profit (also known as you Net Operating Income, or NOI) is $500:

NOI = Gross Rents – Expenses = $1000 – $500 = $500

Now, let’s assume you would get 20% down, 30-year fixed interest mortgage at 6% on this property. Your monthly mortgage payment would be $480, leaving you $20/month in profit:

Profit = NOI – Mortgage = $500 – $480 = $20

So, your very preliminary analysis indicates that you can get a small positive cash flow from the property with a 20% down payment. $20 per month isn’t much to get excited about, but consider that if you can negotiate the price down (thereby lowering your monthly payment), this might be a worthwhile deal. For example, if you can negotiate the price down to $85,000, your monthly payment drops to $408/month, leaving you nearly $100/month in profit.

Also, remember that property management costs are factored into the 50% expenses, so if you plan to manage the property yourself, all fees that otherwise would have gone for property management will now go to you.

As always, don’t trust rules of thumb to make your decisions for you, but don’t hesitate to use them for “back-of-the-napkin” assessments.

Source: realestate_iq

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5 Simple Tips to Make Your Direct Mail Stand Out

As a real estate professional you can’t get around not doing some form of direct marketing to find new projects. So with this being said….What makes a potential customer decide whether or not to open a piece of direct mail? The consumer ultimately needs to be in the market for your services, but is there a way to spark that curiosity? Every day people head to the mailbox and collect their mail. As they take that initial glance while walking back to the kitchen table, decisions are already being made. While taking a seat and reaching for that hot cup of coffee, mail is divided into the dreaded recycle pile and the need-to-take-a-closer-look pile.

To get in the coveted need-to-take-a-closer-look pile, consider these five simple tips that will convince the consumer to open your direct mail piece: •Don’t over sell on the outer envelope:

1. Create intrigue with a simple headline that is personal and specific.

2. Provide your audience with reasons to look further such as relevant teaser copy like “Information You Requested!” You could also use a white envelope with return address – it’s more intriguing and “official” than a colorful envelope, which automatically sends promotional signals. •Give your package a sense of importance by making it unique with:

3. Non-traditional sizes that differ from the majority of #10 and 6 x 9 envelopes that are typically used.

4. Alternate paper stocks or finishes make your piece feel different.

5. Cards, magnets and/or heavy stock inserts give your mail piece a physical presence **These simple tips will give you a distinct advantage, make a good first impression, and help your direct mail designs stand out and get opened.**

Source: realestate_iq

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11 Million Americans Spend Half of Their Income on Rent


More Americans are struggling to make rent.

The number of renters dedicating at least half of their income toward housing hit a record high of 11 million people in 2014, according to the annual State of the Nation’s Housing Report from the Joint Center for Housing Studies of Harvard University.
A total of 21.3 million are spending 30% or more of their paycheck to cover the rent — also a record high.

Personal finance experts generally suggest budgeting around 30% of monthly income to cover housing costs.

But that’s getting harder to do with rent prices rising faster than wages.

Household budgets are taking a hit

Losing such a large portion of a paycheck to cover housing means cutting back in other areas.

“When you have to dedicate such a high proportion of your income to rent every month, it forces you to make difficult decisions,” said Dan McCue, a senior research associate at the Joint Center.

Not only does that mean less spending on essentials like food, clothing and health care, it also makes it tougher to achieve long-term financial security by saving for an emergency fund, a down payment or retirement.

Middle-class renters in expensive cities are struggling

In the 10 cities with the highest housing costs, renters with middle-class incomes are having a particularly hard time making ends meet. Nearly 75% of renters earning $30,000-$44,999 and 50% of those making $45,000-$75,000 living in these hot markets are considered “cost-burdened” — meaning they spend at least 30% of their income on rent.

It’s not just young people who are renting

“The shift toward renting has been widespread among age groups, incomes and different types of households,” said McCue.

Last year saw the biggest surge in new renters in history, according to the report, bringing the number of people living in rental units to around 110 million people — or about 36% of households.

Middle-aged renters made up a lot of the new demand, with 40% of renters aged 30-49.

And renters are sitting on both ends of the pay scale: almost half of new renters in 2015 earned less than $25,000, while top-income households have been the fastest-growing segment of of new renters for the past three years.

Low-income renters are getting squeezed out

More affluent renters are staying in the rental market longer and driving up the demand for housing. Traditionally, the wealthy would move on to become homeowners, but tight inventory in the housing market is keeping them in rentals longer.
And developers are focusing on building luxury apartments that tend to provide a higher return on investment. That’s dragging overall rents higher and leaving a dearth of affordable rentals.

The median rent on a new apartment was $1,381 in 2015, according to the report, which means a renter would have to make at least $55,000 a year to be able to afford the rent.

And with the typical renter making about $34,000 a year, that means an affordable rental would be about $850.

Homeownership is becoming more affordable

While renters are paying more, affordability is improving for those who own their homes. The number of cost-burdened homeowners declined in 2014 for the fourth consecutive year, according to the report, thanks to low mortgage rates.

Source: realestate_iq

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Crocodile Sanctuary Visit

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Yesterday, me and my family visited a crocodile sanctuary or “sarang buaya” at Tanjung Langsat, Pasir Gudang. The journey was long despite using the Pasir Gudang highway because the place is located at the very end of Pasir Gudang district. Hence, not many knew the existence of this place.

The entrance was a bit scary to me because of the sinkholes and high tides on both sides of the entrance road. I think this is probably due the mangrove swamps surrounding the place. For safety measures, we were guided from the main entrance to the ticket counter. The ticket is on promo so we spent only RM10 for adults (2 tickets). Children promo price is only RM2.

During our visit around the place, the tour guide explained facts on the crocodiles in general and specifically those that lived there. The sanctuary is nothing like a zoo where crocodiles just lay quietly and not aggressive. Here, crocodiles move around and swim freely in a pond. There were around 60++ number of crocodiles in the main section. You can also see crocodiles fighting with each other, especially Pak Tam, the king of the crocodiles. You can even see them stare at you and in a ready position waiting for an opportunity to attack its prey. At one point I felt very uncomfortable and just wanted to end the tour and just get out of the place.

We were also shown the crocodile’s nest and the hatching area. I did not know that a mother crocodile would not eat for 3 months just for the sake of her babies! Crocodile eggs cannot be in contact with water (even rain) as this would destroy the eggs. Also, alligators love to steal the eggs for food. At the hatching area, there were three baby crocodiles. However, one is crippled due to fights among the other crocodiles. One baby crocodile has actually ate its friend and has been moved to the other section.

At the end of the tour, we get to touch and take pictures with a baby crocodile. A new experience for me, for us. It was really really fun. But to go there again would require me thinking it over 1000 times since the place is still under construction and thus do not seem appropriate for babies, children, and elders. However, I would strongly recommend this for the nature/animal lovers and those who are brave at heart and adventurous. Believe me. It’s really worth the money since you get both entertainment and education! Or, in short, “edutainment”. Value for money. 🙂

Regards,
……..
Hana

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Program Asas Amalan Pelelong Awam Malaysia (APM) 2016

Date : 2, 3, 4, 24, and 25th September 2016
Venue: INSPEN, Kajang, Selangor

Please refer image below for details on the program:

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Interested? Form enclosed below:

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Regards,
……..
Hana

Posted in Academia, Malaysia, Real Estate, Seminar/workshop/conference | Leave a comment

International Business Valuation Conference- IACVA Malaysia 2016

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Business Valuers Association Malaysia (BVAM) will be hosting the International Business Valuation Conference (IBVC) 2016. The details are as follows:

Date : 18–20 September 2016
Venue : The Royale Chulan, Kuala Lumpur

This event brings you the opportunity to get updated on the global standards of business valuation and the latest developments in the field from eminently distinguished valuation practitioners as well as to build professional relationship with fellow valuers.

This conference is designed for but not limited to:

† Valuators
† Real estate appraisers
† Business valuation services professionals
† Financial professionals
† Practitioners with business valuation knowledge
† Professionals seeking technical expertise in valuation
† Professionals working with private equity firms
† Professionals working with mergers and acquisitions etc.

Please check out the brochure for further details.

Regards,
……..
Hana

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How to Attract and Groom Postgraduate Students

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Today I had a short chit-chat session with the dean post meeting on journal publication. We talked about life and career. But what attracted me the most was when shared his secrets on attracting postgraduate students and grooming them to become good researchers.

Firstly, in order to look for these potential students, we have to look beyond the university. This means, people who have stable career in a company/an industry. These people are the ones who do not have financial constraints in pursuing their studies. By not relying on other financial instruments such as MyMaster etc, they can work smoothly and in peace knowing that their maintenance and fees are not burdening and slowing down their progress. Another one is to tell the prospective students that doing Master/Phd is not hard but it requires heavy work. This means, doing PhD/Master is not hard as long as you follow the process of a PhD/Master. i.e. literature search, conduct experiments/data collection etc. But as we know, this process can become very long and tiring and some people may give up halfway through. Thus, persistence is the key. The key to successfully completing research.

Secondly, once we managed to secure the prospective students, we should treat our students as partners and build a good relationship with them. This is extremely important to minimise the possibilities of miscommunication and that problems encountered by the students are resolved. This will eventually ensure smooth research progress of a student.

Thirdly, we need to use a proper approach for each student. Some students are very bright and can work fast with minimal monitoring from the supervisor. Some students need frequent monitoring to ensure that they stay on track. These students are the “naughty” ones which needed to be pushed by the supervisor. The other type of students are the ones who need to be guided from the start to the finish. These are the ones that require full attention from the supervisor. In short, there are many types of students. Each with their own different way of doing things. It is like having a children with different characters. Each child is treated differently to suit their own character and ability.

Finally, conduct a regular meeting with the students. The dean had a large number of students (around 40++) doing Master and PhD under his supervision. Every month, he would conduct a group meeting with his students. This approach might seem inappropriate to some since it is not an individual meeting. But this method has its own advantage. By getting to know each other, they can actually work in team! Senior students for instance can guide the junior students in some aspects of research while junior students help senior students in finding articles because they are mostly in the library searching for papers during early semesters. Ain’t it brilliant?

All these have been proven to successfully produce high numbers of graduates in Master and PhD. Well, that’s all for now. Hope you enjoy reading this post. 🙂

Regards,
……..
Hana

Posted in Academia, Master, PhD, Real Estate, Research Tips, Teaching, Undergraduate, Universiti Teknologi Malaysia | Leave a comment